https://cuicaihao.github.io/zh/tags/%E5%8F%82%E8%80%83%E7%B1%BB%E9%A2%84%E6%B5%8B/Recent content in 参考类预测 on C.CUI's LogHugozhMon, 04 May 2026 07:00:00 +1000https://cuicaihao.github.io/zh/posts/2026-05-04-reference-class-you-are-not-special/Mon, 04 May 2026 07:00:00 +1000https://cuicaihao.github.io/zh/posts/2026-05-04-reference-class-you-are-not-special/本文介绍了参考类预测（RCF），这是一种通过将项目视为统计样本而非独特故事来克服规划谬误和“内部视角”的认知工具。