https://cuicaihao.github.io/tags/prophet/Recent content in Prophet on C.CUI's LogHugoen-AUThu, 01 Oct 2026 07:00:00 +1000https://cuicaihao.github.io/posts/2026-10-01-prophet-retail-demand-forecast/Thu, 01 Oct 2026 07:00:00 +1000https://cuicaihao.github.io/posts/2026-10-01-prophet-retail-demand-forecast/Starting from a single sales record, this article explains how Prophet constructs inputs, estimates parameters, and produces future forecasts. Using synthetic Victorian retail data for an autumn/winter grocery product in Melbourne, it reconstructs forecasts, examines prior and hyperparameter settings, diagnoses model errors, compares Prophet with tree-based and neural-network models, and defines the boundaries of production deployment.