https://cuicaihao.github.io/tags/dunning-kruger-effect/Recent content in Dunning-Kruger Effect on C.CUI's LogHugoen-AUThu, 30 Apr 2026 09:24:43 +1000https://cuicaihao.github.io/posts/2026-04-30-regression-to-the-mean-decision-making/Thu, 30 Apr 2026 09:24:43 +1000https://cuicaihao.github.io/posts/2026-04-30-regression-to-the-mean-decision-making/<p>Daniel Kahneman, the Nobel laureate in economics and one of the founding fathers of decision science, shared a compelling story in his book <em>Thinking, Fast and Slow</em> [1].</p> <p>Kahneman was once conducting a training session for the Israeli Air Force. He presented a viewpoint well-known in psychology: rewarding good performance is far more effective than punishing mistakes. There is a vast amount of research supporting this [2], whether you are educating children, training athletes, or even teaching animals in a circus; positive reinforcement should be the primary approach.</p>