↓Skip to main content

Antifragility

2026

A conceptual illustration of a person in a mist of uncertainty assembling scattered components in their hands (representing Bird-in-Hand), collaborating with partners to stitch a patchwork quilt towards a glowing horizon (Crazy Quilt and Lemonade), guided by control dials (Pilot-in-the-Plane).

Effectuation: What to Do When You Don't Know What to Do

27 May 2026·2764 words·13 mins

Fragility and Antifragility: How to Harness Asymmetric Risk

24 April 2026·1879 words·9 mins