Posts
2026
The OODA Loop: Speed is Not About Reaction, But About Updating Your Mindset
·2508 words·12 mins
Superforecasting: Naming Uncertainty and Scoring Your Judgments
·2042 words·10 mins
Reference Class: The Spectator Sees Clearly, You Are Not Special
·2865 words·14 mins
Deep Decoding: How Large Language Models 'See' Structure?
·801 words·4 mins
Witness: The Geometric Singularity
·1724 words·9 mins
The Great AI Dao Debate: A Xianxia Epic of Silicon Immortality
·3856 words·8 mins
Prospect Theory: Why the Fear of Loss Drives Risk-Taking
·3151 words·7 mins
Regression to the Mean: Why Extreme Events Aren't the New Normal
·3047 words·15 mins
Selection Bias: Why Your Sample of Reality Isn't Real
·2667 words·13 mins
State Leverage: Doing the Right Things in the Right Order
·1932 words·10 mins
Options: The Privilege of Retaining Optionality
·2527 words·12 mins
Fragility and Antifragility: How to Harness Asymmetric Risk
·1879 words·9 mins